If you hear strange blips and squawks in the night sky this
year, don’t worry, it’s probably just the telcos and their multibillion
dollar struggling to shift gears–from voice to data, and from circuits to
packets.
Most phone conversations on this planet are
circuit-switched–they block off dedicated circuits for the duration of each
call. That will change rapidly, as voice and data both converge on to IP
circuits. Carrying voice over IP and other packet protocols is flexible, cheaper
and inevitable. This is a fundamental change, and a power shift from the
conventional telcos to the Ciscos of the world–or to the AT&Ts who can
change fast enough. It’s also a shift to a new wave of applications and
hardware development. (AT&T stopped all work on circuit-switched development
a year ago.)
The easiest place to carry voice over packets is the
enterprise. It’s simply cheaper to install and manage a common IP network for
voice and data, especially in a country not restricted by an 1885 telegraph act.
So, imagine the savings for a campus, city, country or the globe. As voice over
packet technology is deployed along with new-generation billing and call
management software, it will bring powerful capabilities and services to
telephony, while dropping costs. India will first see the impact of VoIP on
enterprises and then on software development in 2001, then on private basic
operators and perhaps MTNL in 2002, and probably not for ten years on the DoT,
BSNL and co.