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Smart Chains, Smarter Gains

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DQI Bureau
New Update

How could Compaq buy out Digital? And why

did Digi-tal lose out on many of the golden market opportuni-ties that were presented to

it much before in time? Answer: Compaq could handle the pace of doing business much better

than Digital. Talk about Dell Computers and the famed Dell marketing model. How could

Michael Dell convert a loss of $ 36 million in 1993 into a profit of $ 149 million in less

than 12 months and then make it a nearly $ 8-billion company in 1997 with record profits?

Answer: Dell got the key to doing business fast.

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The key to both these resounding miracles

in the computer business lies in smartening the ''supply chain'', a collection of business

entities or assets involved in the flow of products from raw material procurement, through

manufacturing and logistics, to delivery of finished goods to the customers.

To take a more holistic view of Supply

Chain Management (SCM) and its implications, consider the following statistics:

n In 1996, US investment in business

inventory was $ 1.27 trillion, the financial and operating cost of carrying that inventory

was $ 311 billion, and US companies spent an estimated $ 797 billion on logistics alone,

equal to over 10 percent of the GDP (source: The Yankee Group).

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n There is the opportunity to drive $ 400

billion of excess inventories and cost from the retail supply chain, according to Randy

Mott, CIO, and Robert Bruce, Executive VP, Walmart.

n "By controlling our supply chain we

are generating $ 2 billion of incremental value at Dell," says Tom Meredith, CFO,

Dell Computers.

IT-enabled Supply Chain

color="#000000" size="2" face="Arial">Creating A Responsive Supply Chain

SCM looks beyond the physical boundaries of

an organization and aims at leveraging capabilities of all entities. The supply chain of a

company, defined by its customers, suppliers, geographical spread, resources, technology,

and systems, is aligned to its goals.

Creating a responsive supply chain involves

a number of steps: goal setting, module analysis, model integration, and building

responsiveness.

GOAL SETTING: The first

step is to define precisely the goals that are to be achieved. Do you want to improve

service, reduce inventories, or increase time to market? The supply chain goal has to be

in harmony with the organizational goals. While setting goals, it is imperative to

consider customer requirements and expectations. Although, setting goals higher than

customer expectations may result in customer delight, but at the same time it may also put

enormous strain on the company''s resources. This trade-off has to be critically examined.

At some point in the process goal setting, numerical targets need to be made for the

short, medium and long term. Tangible performance measures will assist in monitoring

progress toward the goals.

MODULE ANALYSIS: The

second step is to split the supply chain into modules of procurement, manufacturing,

distribution, and sales. A supply chain is only as strong as its weakest link. Thus, it is

important to strengthen the reliability and efficiency of the individual modules. By

breaking the supply chain into its components it is possible to analyze each segment in

terms of physical and information flows as well as measure the reliability of each

component.

n In the area of procurement, the company

needs to classify vendors into critical and non-critical categories. The considerations

include uniqueness of service, criticality of product, and compatibility. The next step is

to work closely with critical vendors to improve reliability and derive win-win benefits.

n In manufacturing, building process

reliability, upgrading process capability, and introducing flexibility options are

required to be looked at. Capacity and technology considerations also need to be examined

and prioritized.

n Distribution practices and warehouse

management would need to be driven by the goals set out for the supply chain.

n Demand variations and volatility due to

inherent market fluctuations, trade promotions, and new product introductions cause

significant supply chain disruptions and have a major cost impact. Sales need to segregate

demand drivers and track forecast errors. Improving forecast fidelity would be the prime

concern in this step.

MODEL INTEGRATION: Having

improved reliability, the next step looks at synchronization across the modules. For

example, in cycle-time, synchronization of procurement lead-time with manufacturing

lead-time will decide the pipeline inventory to be held. Here, the impact of supply chain

drivers on business economics needs to be assessed. Emphasis needs to be placed on product

flow synchronization by leveraging information flows. The goals set out need to be

revisited and targets revised. The synchronization phase throws up areas of immediate

attention.



IT In Enabling The Supply Chain

color="#000000" size="2" face="Arial">Significant IT interventions have enabled

information availability and flows, continuous performance measurement, and feedback

mechanisms, all leading to optimal decision making. Greater sophistication is entering

tasks such as order processing, deand forecasting, and stock control.

The role of IT in supply chain is to assist

in sharing of forecasting, replenishment, planning, and scheduling data amongst different

constituents. Investment in IT across entities should ideally be made during the model

integration phase. Many organizations often try working around their problems by investing

in IT solutions. However, if investments in IT are made without a clear understanding of

physical and information flows and unique aspects of the organization, setbacks are bound

to occur.

ERPs are moving from client server to

distributed objects and from an emphasis on transactional data to workflow processes.

Standard interfaces are available in the marketplace which facilitates movement of data

between entities on standardized EDI formats. The use of Internet and intranets is making

it possible to have connectivity at reasonable costs.

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Synchronization is, however, not an easy

task. According to a Coopers & Lybrand survey on European Regional Supply Chain

Integration from 1985-96, in 1985, just below-25 percent companies were aware of the

opportunities generated by integration along the supply chain. Twenty percent were

involved in strategic planning and less than 10 percent were implementing the process.

None had completed it. By 1996, 100 percent were aware of the opportunities, 80 percent

included integration considerations in their strategic planning, and nearly 70 percent

were implementing. Only 20 percent had actually completed implementation. The conclusions

drawn by the survey show that awareness of supply chain integration is easy to create,

strategy planning is straightforward, and start up of implementation can follow readily

but completing implementation is difficult.

BUILDING RESPONSIVENESS:

The final step is to build responsiveness into the supply chain. A responsive supply chain

is required to respond to the volatility of today''s customers and markets. This is done by

instituting feedback mechanisms throughout the chain and linking them to the reward

system. Integration is a prerequisite to bringing agility into the system. Shared

information, compatible measures and incentives, and a focused approach can give direction

to areas of new product introduction, production scheduling, inventory management, and

order management.

The entire process of creating and managing

a responsive supply chain requires a constant focus on the process. Organizations have

responded to this requirement in a number of ways. Some have created the post of a supply

chain manager, who is responsible for meeting the chain targets and seek continuous

improvement opportunities. In addition to creating such a post, key performance indicators

have been drawn. These indicators break up the chain targets into module targets, which

can be managed and tracked.

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Ravi Bhamidipati,



Supply Chain Practice Area Leader, and


Clifford Patrao, Consultant, Coopers & Lybrand.

All US examples one would say. But sadly

enough such statistics are not available for India. However, the writing on the wall is

clear: SCM is going to be the key in doing business efficiently in India too. Says Dr

Rakesh Kumar Sinha, GM (Corporate Planning and Information Systems), Godrej Soaps,

"In a market like India which is diverse and fragmented, supply chain efficiency can

bring in marked benefits to an organization." (see Box: Supply Chain In Indian

context) This is important from a strategic perspective too. According to Anil Malvankar,

Senior Manager, Marketing, SISL, which sells specific supply chain solutions from i2

Technologies, only very efficient Indian companies are able to turn over their working

capital 10-12 times a year, most others do it barely 3-4 times a year; while the standard

of a global company like Compaq is to turn over its working capital nearly 30 times a

year. And the company is aiming to achieve the figure of 40 by the year 2002.

Chicken Or Egg?



If SCM is so important, where should it figure in your automation plan? Says Narayan
Shekhar, Country Manager, SSA, "SCM is most important because it is closest to the

customer. And information should be closest to the person who is in contact with the

customer." Organizations that are looking for integrated enterprise applications

might do well if they put more money into supply chain planning and management solutions.

Says Bruce Richardson, VP, Research, Advanced Manufacturing Research, "While it is

virtually impossible to justify the cost of ERP systems, the savings to be gained from

supply chain planning systems are unlimited. If a client comes to us and tells us that

they have budget for only one system, we suggest that they implement a supply chain

planning solution." It, therefore, makes more sense to concentrate on supply chain to

derive the immediate benefits.

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Supply Chain

Strategies In The Indian Context

Indian distribution system for FMCGs is

unique in terms of its structure, complexities, challenges, and the huge opportunities it

offers for many products. Large number of echelons in the distribution system does result

in excess inventory carried in the entire system. It also results in higher response time

to any change of demand in the marketplace. However, the challenge lies in building a

robust supply chain system that is constantly adjusting its input supplies based on the

information it receives on changes in the consumer off-take. We also have a highly

stratified system where companies need to sell to a large number of distributors across

the length and breadth of the country. This is in contrast to many developed countries

where a few large chains account for almost the entire sales of the company. The spread of

Indian demand across the entire geography is more challenging compared to many other

developing countries where a few large cities account for a large chunk of the demand.

In such a context, the two major objectives

for FMCG companies would be to keep high level of customer service and manage it with low

inventory in supply chain. This would ensure quick response to any demand changes at

minimum cost. Traditionally, these two objectives are seen conflicting with each other.

However, if one dwells deeper into the real issue, both point toward eliminating various

inefficiencies in the supply chain. In fact, inventories and delayed response are nothing

but a manifestation of such inefficiencies. Unless we systematically drive out these

inefficiencies from a system, a firm operating in the FMCG industry is likely to erode its

competitive edge.

Major elements of supply chain policies

relate to the areas of procurement, manufacturing, dispatching, transportation, inventory,

and indenting. The best practices in each of these areas are well known and well

documented. However, one still finds non-acceptance of these best practices by the

operating managers. "What works for Toyota or Kao would not work for me,"

"Indian conditions are different," "Theoretical research cannot be applied

to the practical realities," are the comments frequently heard from such managers.

Let me tell you that these comments are all true. We must remember that each company has

to finetune its own supply chain policies depending on its current practices, culture,

risk-taking ability, and the strength of its products in the market. What works for one

company may not work for another, if the practices are blindly copied without

understanding the underlying philosophy. At the same time, we should not forget that each

of these success stories from companies like Dell, Toyota, and Kao has a lesson for all of

us. When Toyota talks of its Lean Production System, it refers to reduction in batch sizes

and flexibility in production. When Kao describes its efficient distribution system and

fast response time, it is referring to a single set of demand numbers used by all the

operating managers.

What we learn from these success stories is

depends entirely on us. We are free to reject them as not applicable to the Indian system.

On the other hand, we can extract the essence from these stories and improvise our own

policies in highly creative ways to incorporate the best from everyone. The Choice Is

Ours!

Dr RK Sinha is GM,



Corporate Planning and Information Systems, Godrej Soaps.


(Note: Dr Sinha is the only person in India to get a doctorate in SCM.)

All the ERP products have integrated supply

chain functionality. But for getting to the actual benefits of SCM, more is needed.

Agrees, Arjun Erry, Country Manager, QAD Inc., "ERP products have a focus on the

transaction phase of SCM and in the Indian context in most cases where the supply chain is

being automated for the first time, it is more than enough." The focus of an ERP

solution includes much more than just supply chain planning, whereas supply chain itself

is becoming such a specialized area that it demands special attention.

Many organizations consider ERP and SCM as

two phases of a project. But Beth Enslow, Gartner Group, advises against this: "ERP

projects should be managed as a separate part of the applications portfolio and viewed as

a parallel implementation. In most cases, enterprises should start on supply chain

projects immediately if they want to achieve the quick, incremental value that SCM can

deliver."

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Apples And Oranges?



There are still critical differences between an ERP and SCM-specific products/projects.
ERP projects traditionally seem to be longdrawn and extend over months or years possibly.

Whereas SCM usually takes shorter and the payback is also quicker. Responding to the

changes in market environment like demand, supply, available labor, available machine

capacity, and retail capacity makes an ERP solution look weaker. This is because an ERP is

more internally-oriented. ERP vendors do promise to deliver all the benefits of SCM. But

it is unrealistic to expect that from them. As the two are quite different in their

approach and each one doesn''t do well the job of the other. But from the standpoint of

having a process and transaction-oriented supply chain function within your organization,

an ERP software would do. "An ERP is more restricted to within the organization; true

supply chain planning should be called as customer-centric planning," says Anwar

Baghdadi, GM, Information Management, Godrej GE Appliances. Furthermore, all the ERP

software have interfaces to specialized supply chain planning modules from third-party

vendors like i2 Technologies, Red Pepper, Paragon, Manugistics, and others.



The New Supply

Chain Model

Larry Chang is the bean counter-with a

difference. As the Financial Controller for HP''s Personal Systems Group, Chang oversees

the entire Wintel business in HP, and in the past several months, has been able to create

the spanking new supply chain model for HP, which, while reducing the inventory at

resellers, will also help Chang to be far more fleet-footed than what he is today.

"The only companies to worry about are Dell and Compaq," says Chang, but then

adds, "my advantage over Dell is that my partners know the market a lot better than

Dell would ever know." As a result of this, Chang has developed an ESP model that has

won rave reviews and plans to polish it up with newer offerings this fall. Simply put

Chang divides his entire customer needs into ''configuration flexibility and cost

efficiency''. Between these two axes, HP is able to offer CHiP bundling which is a low-cost

efficient and low flexible option right up to channel assembly, where the partner actually

assembles ''approved parts, and puts together a system as per the needs of his (partners'')

customer. At this level, just about everything is custom-made. Between the two, HP also

offers economy bundles, which are high-volume standard, most-in-demand

face="Arial">Operational Excellence-Supply Chain Progress
Year Program Channel

Inventory
HP

Inventory
Returns

Rate (%)
1995 Build-to

order
6 weeks 6 weeks 4-6
1996 CHiP 4 weeks 4 weeks 1-0
1997 Extended

Solutions



Partnership (ESP)
2 weeks 2weeks 0-1

configurations that are needed by the

partner. This entire system is built on the relationship that the company enjoys with its

partners. So much so, even very large accounts, which come under ''Vendor Express'', are

those which are handled by HP directly, on behalf of the dealer. According to Computer

Reseller News (CRN), which is the largest channel magazine in the US, ''far from vendor

voodoo, ESP-which consists of build-to-order, channel assembly, and traditional

manufacturing-is the best response to the direct threat, channel executives said. Chang

claims that as a result of these initiatives, HP was able to reduce channel inventory from

six weeks to two weeks and more importantly, the inventory that HP was carrying came down

by like a timeframe. Added together, this gave Chang an average of eight weeks inventory,

which was then free. Chang has already set up these initiatives in China and Australia,

and is expanding the scope of these initiatives in Japan. India is next on line, says

Chang, without refusing to divulge any more details. However, this writer came to know of

the company''s imminent plans to set up a ''configure-to-order'' plant in India. Chang is

resting on his laurels. In intend squeezing this further, he says. In order to spread the

backward integration of his logistics plan further, he says that most of his ''A'' category

suppliers will have their warehouses close to his (HP) plant. If this is taken care of,

other costs will get controlled of their own. Asked as to why should any partner/reseller

participate in his program, Chang is business like, I can help him grow his business and

improve his rate of return by leveraging on his internal assets, and if his business

grows, my business grows. Conventional wisdom here, with a dash of common sense.

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What an ERP does is create an

enterprise-wide transaction backbone for all the business management functions of an

organization. It brings in a sort of discipline within the organization. Since by design,

ERP tries to capture all the basic functions, if one needs specialization in an area, it

may need to take recourse to third-party offerings. So it works with supply chain.

The additional functionality that SCM

products like i2'' s Rhythm brings to the table is supply planning, demand planning,

scheduling, and logistics management. Such products help companies to optimize their

resources, do better forecasting, and deliver better value by using near-accurate

information. According to Malvankar, "Products, like i2''s Rhythm, take care of causal

factors like price cuts, ad campaign, raw material non-availability etc., and derive an

optimum schedule for procurement, manufacture, and delivery process." ERP''s main

value-combining financial control with multi-plant manufacturing coordination-does not

deliver on key supply and demand planning functions.

Reaping Fruits



SCM directly impacts the bottomline of an organization, as money saved is money earned.
Beyond that, SCM''s benefits are spread across most parameters of management or business

efficiency. Reduction in inventory levels, increased customer service, reduction of

operating expenses, increase in return on assets, and reduced cycle-times, to name a few.

At Godrej Soaps, an MFG Pro site, finished goods inventories have reduced by Rs 10 crore,

inventory levels have come down from 30 to 15 days and, there is scope for more, according

to Dr Sinha. There are absolutely no stock outs for raw material and no firefighting in

trying to manage the procurement, manufacturing, and delivery processes. In the case of

another well-known FMCG in India, improved customer service levels is the target. For

this, it has constituted a team that is ensuring 95 percent service level for Category I

products i.e. each retail outlet will stock the product for at least 49 weeks in a year

and 85 percent service level for Category II products.



Compaq has made a commitment of ''95/5''-delivering 95 percent predictability of the first
commit date within five days cycle-time from average order to delivery. One of the key

objectives for the company is to move from a ''build-to-forecast'' mode to ''build-to-order''

mode. As a manufacturer, the # 1 PC maker is looking for reliable short-term planning and

scheduling, considering all material and capacity constraints, in order to enhance both

the predictability and performance of production schedules. With its new SCM in place,

Compaq will be able to detect and highlight critical material shortages. It will also be

able to generate and regenerate production schedules for the shopfloor as well as

material-pull signals for the warehouse control system. These capabilities will enable the

company to effectively manage the rapidly changing dynamics of shopfloor, including

material decommits, purges, product holds, and new product introductions.

"Supply chain is an evolution

and not a revolution."

size="3" face="Arial Black">–Dr Peter Zencke, face="Arial"> Member (Executive Board), SAP AG.

Dr Peter Zencke is a

highly respected expert in both technical development and business requirements of

enterprise applications. One of the main architects of SAP''s R/2 and R/3 family of

software, Dr Zencke is currently incharge of R/3 logistics applications development, R/3

basis components, development and implementation tools, and several industry solutions. A

visionary in IT-driven supply chain planning and management, he has been working for over

20 years in the area of operations research with special focus on optimization and

forecasting. Dr Zencke is a doctorate in mathematics from the University of Bonn. He

shares some of his thoughts on SCM in an interview with Easwaradas Satyan, Senior

Assistant Editor, DATAQUEST.Excerpts:

Could you explain the two different

perspectives of SCM as a standalone function and as a part of an overall ERP

implementation?




Businesses have processes that are internal and external. The internal processes have been
managed quite well because of integrated application solutions. When it comes to

communicating with the outside world for external business processes, the choice was

limited. EDI was thought to be the solution, but it has got its own problems in terms of

standardization and extending to the internal processes of the partners at the

manufacturing and the delivery end.

With Internet, that issue has been taken

care of because TCP/IP is the standard for both internal and external communication.

Therefore, the leanest form of a supply chain system would be an Internet-enabled sales

system. The focus of ERP is manufacturing, but many steps beyond an MRP which deals with

just materials requirement planning and manufacturing planning. An ERP is typically spread

across multiple sites in an organization and integrates all the functional areas of

business management. In this sense, ERP software have been dealing with the area of SCM at

an elementary level. Then comes cross-system ERP or a distributed ERP system which also

integrates the business partners and their internal processes. Such a system is definitely

more powerful as one gets the whole view of the entire supply chain.

What then are the objectives of

SCM?




The ultimate goal is to meet customers'' demand more efficiently. This requires improving
process coordination across the company''s borders, enable an overall visibility of

worldwide chain of supply chain constituents, and creating a more responsive environment

for planning and execution. At best, I would say that supply chain is an evolution and not

a revolution.

What is the key criterion in

achieving excellence in SCM?




The procurement, manufacturing, and delivery processes need to be tied up in an efficient
way using the best available technologies. The processes themselves have to be efficient

and this, I would say, is the key criterion. To this efficiency one has to add

responsiveness to changes and constraints.

How does this responsiveness come

and what is the technology behind it?
face="Arial">



Lack of responsiveness is a problem in traditional MRP and many ERP systems. One gets the
forecast data for a month and starts manufacturing. Any sudden development in that month

will put the entire system into jeopardy. So one has to get down to doing this on a weekly

basis, then on a daily basis, and perhaps on an hourly basis. When this is done, one is

able to defend and address market situations in the most effective way. This is

responsiveness. But getting down to this level of refinement requires radically new

technologies of optimization and object modeling. For this, one needs to integrate the

optimization module with the transactional data from ERP system. Essentially, what I mean

is that the optimization algorithms cannot be provided by external interfaces but have to

be embedded in the ERP system.

What is SAP''s initiative? color="#000000" size="2" face="Arial">



SAP is developing a new component called Advanced Planner and Optimizer (APO) to further
incorporate real-time collaborative decision support and advanced planning and

optimization into the SAP business framework. It is a memory resident object model

synchronized with the ERP data, which we call liveCache.

What constitutes the supply chain

solutions industry?




My view is that there are some so-called supply chain vendors who offer some of the
sophistication like constraints-based planning in supply chain. Then there are the

traditional MRP and ERP vendors who have the preliminary modules for SCM, while others

interface the two for additional refinement. But we believe that the best approach is to

provide embedded optimization and forecasting within ERP. Only this configuration can

offer the best decision support capability to the system. SAP is the only one to do that.



So how does it empower an organization?

It empowers the organization by giving

answers to questions that cannot be handled by traditional transaction-oriented ERPs. Some

of these questions would be: Like in the sales area which plant can fulfill my customer''s

order in the lowest cost in time? Or can I still change my customer''s order? Or I have

conflicting orders, how do I solve the conflict? In the planning area, I have a new market

forecast.... What load does it create for my suppliers and which manufacturing capacity

runs critical? In the manufacturing area, what is the order load for my next shift? Or if

I have limited resources, how can I reschedule without breaking commitments? Responses to

such questions are critical to achieve the best out of your supply chain.

Increasingly, companies no longer simply

compete against single or multiple rivals in the same business. It is not enough for a

firm to make better products or be more cost-effective than its competitors. More and more

organizations will compete on the basis of their total supply chains. Soon, if not already

in the case of some industries, the efficiency of a firm''s supply chain will determine

whether a company prospers and delivers value to its shareholders or whether it succumbs

to those competitors that operate within a better supply chain. Organizations will become

extended enterprises that encompass suppliers, manufacturers, service providers, and

customers, all acting in concert to create value and profit. This idea of the extended

enterprise, with its focus on supply chain excellence (not functional or corporate

excellence), will become the standard by which companies will be measured in the next

century.

EASWARADAS SATYAN,



in Mumbai and Singapore.

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