At 14% market share, LCD monitors are expected to grow more than
50% share by 2008, denting a market dominated by CRTs
The
saying that goes in the display market-Monitor is the computer, holds good in
every sense. A ubiquitous symbol of computing is in the throes of change. When
we talk about computer monitors, the first thing that comes to anybody's mind
is those obese looking CRTs, but in the recent times a subtle transformation of
sorts is happening across the world-the ubiquitous CRTs are slowly giving way
to sleek and slim looking LCD monitors that weighs just about four kilos and
fits snugly on to the desk. While in a developing geography like India, the CRTs
still rule the roost, but what we are seeing now is the escalation of a trend of
LCDs challenging the CRT market. This according to the industry watchers will
happen by 2008 in India, with LCDs garnering a market share of more than 50% of
the total monitor shipment pie. As we look at the current penetration levels, of
the total monitor shipments, IDC estimates the LCD share at 14% during 2005 and
is expected to grow to 22% by 2006 end. Clearly the LCDs are the future of
display market and a burgeoning one.
LCDs Moving In |
||
Year |
Total Monitor Shipments (mn) |
LCDs Share |
2004 |
3.5 |
7% |
2005 |
4.5 |
14% |
2006 |
5.5 |
22% |
Source: IDC |
Market Drivers
With technology characterized by rapid obsolescence cycles, the next logical
evolution of the monitor industry is favorable tilted towards the LCDs. Over the
years the CRT monitors have evolved and with the full flat CRT, the technology
has reached a saturation point, beyond this there is nothing new CRTs can offer
and this technological plateau is driving the LCDs to the limelight. The
prohibitive costs have limited the market adoption of LCDs in the past, but with
prices coming in the Rs 10K mark has expanded the consumer options. The market
right now for the LCD is the industry verticals' like healthcare, hotels,
airports, BPO, and IT. According to industry estimates these verticals consume
more than 80% of the LCD monitor shipments. Says Jitendra Kulkarni, ceo,
Redington India, “LCDs are eating into the CRT market for a variety of
reasons: First, the price gap between the two has come down. Second, the
tremendous space saving one can achieve in an office environment. Especially the
desk size can become smaller if one has LCD monitor instead of CRT.”
For labor-intensive
industries like BPO, the employee base runs into thousands. So space is a
premium and LCDs becomes an ideal option. Quips Ish Bawa, marcom manager, BenQ,
“LCD monitors growth is due to the fact that the technology is becoming more
affordable .We are seeing more industries and offices opting for the same
keeping in mind the obvious benefits it has over the CRT technology such as
minimal desk space, less power consumption, no radiation and better
durability.” Agrees Huma Ali, analyst-monitors-IDC India, “The LCD market
would surge ahead driven by widespread awareness, acceptance and affordability
of the technology. Consumer markets
should pick up due to aggressive promotions, attractive exchange offers, and
increasing awareness about utility. In
the enterprise segment, there should be a huge replacement due to falling
prices.”
"The cost differential between CRT and LCD is easily |
Total Asia Pacific (excluding Japan) Monitor Unit Shipment |
|||||
CRT |
|||||
Size |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
15" |
4,588,558 |
4,375,728 |
4,061,226 |
3,681,226 |
2,874,024 |
17" |
14,716,580 |
13,507,298 |
13,028,415 |
13,056,830 |
13,492,210 |
19" |
1,167,182 |
1,613,407 |
2,225,399 |
2,672,975 |
2,999,286 |
21" |
98,658 |
146,488 |
210,542 |
259,623 |
303,320 |
>21" |
14,746 |
24,239 |
35,550 |
47,219 |
59,168 |
CRT Total |
20,602,51 |
19,667,160 |
19,561,131 |
19,717,872 |
19,728,008 |
LCD |
|||||
14" |
32,810 |
12,524 |
9,210 |
6,361 |
5,896 |
15" |
6,627,601 |
8,601,929 |
9,276,156 |
9,666,348 |
9,781,660 |
16"/17" |
4,233,929 |
5,213,218 |
6,498,347 |
7,854,740 |
9,781,660 |
18" |
44,449 |
15,788 |
2,575 |
1,224 |
583 |
19" |
418,512 |
615,603 |
898,489 |
1,273,432 |
1,693,653 |
20" |
44,907 |
69,910 |
85,231 |
96,871 |
114,052 |
>20" |
77,055 |
134,428 |
294,739 |
448,018 |
537,610 |
LCD Total |
1,479,263 |
14,663,404 |
17,064,747 |
19,346,994 |
21,292,236 |
Total |
32,081,774 |
34,330,564 |
36,635,879 |
39,064,866 |
41,020,344 |
Source: IDC 2004 |
TCO and RoI
Whenever we talk about conventional technology, despite its limitations and
constraints the economies of scale has kept the market in the pink. This is
indeed the lifeline of the CRTs today but a closer look at the tangible and
intangible benefits LCDs brings to table indicate that large and mid size
enterprise monitor buying decisions will increasingly tilt towards the LCDs
during 2006. A CRT to LCD comparison puts the LCDs in the forefront for
instance: a 17-inch CRT costs today around Rs 6K and the LCD at Rs 10K. One
needs to pay a premium of Rs 4K in order to acquire a 15inch LCD. But the real
value of the LCD lies in the running costs as compared to CRTs over a period of
time. Reflecting on that Kulkarni says, “ The cost differential between CRT
and LCD can be easily justified because of shorter payback period of between two
to three years through saving in space and electricity consumption.”
The LCDs consume less
power compared to CRTs and on an annualized basis enterprises can save
significant cost savings on power consumption up to 40% savings on electricity
bills. With commercial per unit tariffs increasing every year, enterprises are
looking at ways to bring down the expenses on administrative costs, and here 15
inch LCDs are expected to gain market traction whenever a monitor buying
happens. Says V.R. Kirubakaran, national manager-display products, HCL
Peripherals, “LCDs help in down-sizing of UPS' and AC capacity which leads
to significant savings.”
Why should an enterprise go for LCDs instead of CRTs? |
|
Key verticals driving LCDs |
|
Do a Due Diligence |
Like any technology buying decision, as a CIO, when you decide to opt for LCDs one need to factor in the merits of the technology on quality parameters. A LCD monitor uses Thin Film Transistor (TFT), and for example a 17-inch LCD monitor might be having 1.3 million transistors that support up to 1.3 million pixels. The power consumed is less in LCD because it only requires a small power to energize the tiny transistors. With so much of color combinations possible, there is a chance that some LCD monitors might have some dead pixels, even the monitor case says: Test OK. Hence it is important to check with the vendor, what is his warranty and in the event of dead pixels, what is the replacement policy. To avoid all these hassles, one needs to check the monitor before buying, by running all kinds of tests. For instance, running high intensive graphical applications, darkness depth (this will expose dead pixels if any) etc will help in taking an informed LCD buying decision. |
Quips Sunil
Murlidharan, country product manager-TFT LCD Monitors, Samsung India “The
value proposition of the LCD Monitors lies in the power saving and the space
saving benefits that are quantifiable, in addition to other benefits like zero
radiation, zero glare properties that reduces eye strain, flexibility of viewing
posture, display and mounting makes LCD adoption promising”
In an Indian context,
the vendors are bullish that the inherent benefits will increase the volumes for
LCDs in the days ahead. The OEM is also pushing LCD with PCs. For instance all
PC vendors offer LCD, and position it as value add. The channels meanwhile are
evincing keen interest in pushing more LCDs. The aggressive focus channels on
LCDs are bound to benefit the enterprises. The reasons channels are focusing on
LCDs is due to the fact that there is a large replacement market, which is an
incremental business not available to those doing only CRT monitors.
For the same number of monitors sold, one gets almost 100% more revenue
than selling same number of CRTs and similarly the channel earns higher margin.
Meanwhile LCDs take much
smaller space in the warehouses and in the transport vehicles so the logistics
costs of doing LCD business are lower than those for CRT business.
In all the escalation
of LCDs in the monitor charts looks imminent. We have already started seeing it
as in terms of visibility of LCDs-whether in hotels, airports, and whole lot of
places. Analysts see this LCD visibility as a healthy trend that will usher in
more awareness leading to more enterprises going the LCD way.