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CRTs on Diet

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DQI Bureau
New Update

At 14% market share, LCD monitors are expected to grow more than

50% share by 2008, denting a market dominated by CRTs

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The

saying that goes in the display market-Monitor is the computer, holds good in

every sense. A ubiquitous symbol of computing is in the throes of change. When

we talk about computer monitors, the first thing that comes to anybody's mind

is those obese looking CRTs, but in the recent times a subtle transformation of

sorts is happening across the world-the ubiquitous CRTs are slowly giving way

to sleek and slim looking LCD monitors that weighs just about four kilos and

fits snugly on to the desk. While in a developing geography like India, the CRTs

still rule the roost, but what we are seeing now is the escalation of a trend of

LCDs challenging the CRT market. This according to the industry watchers will

happen by 2008 in India, with LCDs garnering a market share of more than 50% of

the total monitor shipment pie. As we look at the current penetration levels, of

the total monitor shipments, IDC estimates the LCD share at 14% during 2005 and

is expected to grow to 22% by 2006 end. Clearly the LCDs are the future of

display market and a burgeoning one.

LCDs Moving In

Year

Total Monitor Shipments (mn)

LCDs Share

2004

3.5

7%

2005

4.5

14%

2006

5.5

22%

Source: IDC

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Market Drivers



With technology characterized by rapid obsolescence cycles, the next logical

evolution of the monitor industry is favorable tilted towards the LCDs. Over the

years the CRT monitors have evolved and with the full flat CRT, the technology

has reached a saturation point, beyond this there is nothing new CRTs can offer

and this technological plateau is driving the LCDs to the limelight. The

prohibitive costs have limited the market adoption of LCDs in the past, but with

prices coming in the Rs 10K mark has expanded the consumer options. The market

right now for the LCD is the industry verticals' like healthcare, hotels,

airports, BPO, and IT. According to industry estimates these verticals consume

more than 80% of the LCD monitor shipments. Says Jitendra Kulkarni, ceo,

Redington India, “LCDs are eating into the CRT market for a variety of

reasons: First, the price gap between the two has come down. Second, the

tremendous space saving one can achieve in an office environment. Especially the

desk size can become smaller if one has LCD monitor instead of CRT.”

For labor-intensive

industries like BPO, the employee base runs into thousands. So space is a

premium and LCDs becomes an ideal option. Quips Ish Bawa, marcom manager, BenQ,

“LCD monitors growth is due to the fact that the technology is becoming more

affordable .We are seeing more industries and offices opting for the same

keeping in mind the obvious benefits it has over the CRT technology such as

minimal desk space, less power consumption, no radiation and better

durability.” Agrees Huma Ali, analyst-monitors-IDC India, “The LCD market

would surge ahead driven by widespread awareness, acceptance and affordability

of the technology.  Consumer markets

should pick up due to aggressive promotions, attractive exchange offers, and

increasing awareness about utility.  In

the enterprise segment, there should be a huge replacement due to falling

prices.”

"The cost differential between CRT and LCD is easily

justified because of the shorter payback period of between two to three

years, through saving in space and electricity consumption."



   -Jitendra Kulkarni, CEO, Redington India

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Total Asia Pacific (excluding Japan) Monitor Unit Shipment

Forecast (2004-08)

CRT

Size

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

15"

4,588,558

4,375,728

4,061,226

3,681,226

2,874,024

17"

14,716,580

13,507,298

13,028,415

13,056,830

13,492,210

19"

1,167,182

1,613,407

2,225,399

2,672,975

2,999,286

21"

98,658

146,488

210,542

259,623

303,320

>21"

14,746

24,239

35,550

47,219

59,168

CRT Total

20,602,51

19,667,160

19,561,131

19,717,872

19,728,008

LCD

14"

32,810

12,524

9,210

6,361

5,896

15"

6,627,601

8,601,929

9,276,156

9,666,348

9,781,660

16"/17"

4,233,929

5,213,218

6,498,347

7,854,740

9,781,660

18"

44,449

15,788

2,575

1,224

583

19"

418,512

615,603

898,489

1,273,432

1,693,653

20"

44,907

69,910

85,231

96,871

114,052

>20"

77,055

134,428

294,739

448,018

537,610

LCD Total

1,479,263

14,663,404

17,064,747

19,346,994

21,292,236

Total

32,081,774

34,330,564

36,635,879

39,064,866

41,020,344

Source: IDC 2004

TCO and RoI



Whenever we talk about conventional technology, despite its limitations and

constraints the economies of scale has kept the market in the pink. This is

indeed the lifeline of the CRTs today but a closer look at the tangible and

intangible benefits LCDs brings to table indicate that large and mid size

enterprise monitor buying decisions will increasingly tilt towards the LCDs

during 2006. A CRT to LCD comparison puts the LCDs in the forefront for

instance: a 17-inch CRT costs today around Rs 6K and the LCD at Rs 10K. One

needs to pay a premium of Rs 4K in order to acquire a 15inch LCD. But the real

value of the LCD lies in the running costs as compared to CRTs over a period of

time. Reflecting on that Kulkarni says, “ The cost differential between CRT

and LCD can be easily justified because of shorter payback period of between two

to three years through saving in space and electricity consumption.”

The LCDs consume less

power compared to CRTs and on an annualized basis enterprises can save

significant cost savings on power consumption up to 40% savings on electricity

bills. With commercial per unit tariffs increasing every year, enterprises are

looking at ways to bring down the expenses on administrative costs, and here 15

inch LCDs are expected to gain market traction whenever a monitor buying

happens. Says V.R. Kirubakaran, national manager-display products, HCL

Peripherals, “LCDs help in down-sizing of UPS' and AC capacity which leads

to significant savings.”

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Why should an enterprise go for LCDs

instead of CRTs?




  • An LCD monitor has a small form

    factor, which makes for optimal use of desk space.

  • According to industry experts CRTs

    exposes the user with the radiation of three electron beams that are

    continually refreshing the entire screen at the rate of 60 to 85 times

    each second.  LCD monitors

    do not refresh in this way. Pixels are constantly on or off, which

    greatly reduces eye fatigue and strain.

  • In terms of cost savings, LCD

    monitor saves up to 40% of electricity consumption as compared to CRT

  • Experts say that LCD monitors can

    work its way up to a minimum of five years, while the normal CRT

    monitor gives only three years of efficient performance

Key verticals driving LCDs



  • Educational Institutes

  • Software and BPO companies

  • Aviation

  • Jewelry industry

  • Gaming and FMCG

Do a Due Diligence



Like any technology buying decision, as a

CIO, when you decide to opt for LCDs one need to factor in the merits of

the technology on quality parameters. A LCD monitor uses Thin Film

Transistor (TFT), and for example a 17-inch LCD monitor might be having

1.3 million transistors that support up to 1.3 million pixels. The power

consumed is less in LCD because it only requires a small power to energize

the tiny transistors. With so much of color combinations possible, there

is a chance that some LCD monitors might have some dead pixels, even the

monitor case says: Test OK. Hence it is important to check with the

vendor, what is his warranty and in the event of dead pixels, what is the

replacement policy. To avoid all these hassles, one needs to check the

monitor before buying, by running all kinds of tests. For instance,

running high intensive graphical applications, darkness depth (this will

expose dead pixels if any) etc will help in taking an informed LCD buying

decision.

Quips Sunil

Murlidharan, country product manager-TFT LCD Monitors, Samsung India “The

value proposition of the LCD Monitors lies in the power saving and the space

saving benefits that are quantifiable, in addition to other benefits like zero

radiation, zero glare properties that reduces eye strain, flexibility of viewing

posture, display and mounting makes LCD adoption promising”

In an Indian context,

the vendors are bullish that the inherent benefits will increase the volumes for

LCDs in the days ahead. The OEM is also pushing LCD with PCs. For instance all

PC vendors offer LCD, and position it as value add. The channels meanwhile are

evincing keen interest in pushing more LCDs. The aggressive focus channels on

LCDs are bound to benefit the enterprises. The reasons channels are focusing on

LCDs is due to the fact that there is a large replacement market, which is an

incremental business not available to those doing only CRT monitors.

For the same number of monitors sold, one gets almost 100% more revenue

than selling same number of CRTs and similarly the channel earns higher margin.

Meanwhile   LCDs take much

smaller space in the warehouses and in the transport vehicles so the logistics

costs of doing LCD business are lower than those for CRT business.

In all the escalation

of LCDs in the monitor charts looks imminent. We have already started seeing it

as in terms of visibility of LCDs-whether in hotels, airports, and whole lot of

places. Analysts see this LCD visibility as a healthy trend that will usher in

more awareness leading to more enterprises going the LCD way.

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