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Is the world really flattening? A question like that may seem
terribly out of place as the opening sentence of an analysis of Indian IT
services exportsthe very phenomenon that gave the idea of flat world to Tom
Friedman. Yet, "something" somewhere says probably the flattening
forces are quite content with leveling the developing and developed worlds; they
have not yet touched the Indian IT services industry. That sounds ironic, but
then as they say, there is your side of the story; there is my side of the
story; and then, there are facts.
And here are the factssome pointers to that
"something" which forces us to play the Doubting Thomas. In FY 07,
the IT services exports from India grew 37.2% to reach Rs 103647 crorethat is
more than a trillion rupees! In dollar terms, this is a little more than $23 bn.
Excellent by all standards.
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The Top 20 exporters grew
faster than the overall industry, as did specialized firms |
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Europe a major thrust for
many because of growth potential and the weakening dollar |
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IT services firms today draw
about 8-15% of revenues from non-IT areas like BPO and engineering
services |
But the big seem to be getting far bigger than the rest. The Top
20 exporters grew 44.2%much faster than the industry average. In other words,
the gap between top players and the next tier is widening.
Call it the Offshore Divide if you like, this trend is
noticeable within the Top 20 list itself. While the Big Three are growing at
close to 40%, other offshore companies like Satyam, Patni, Syntel, Hexaware,
MphasiS and SISL are all growing at less than 35%; of course, not counting IBM,
HP, Capgemini, Perot and the like, whose India exports may not tell their entire
story.
This is not an entirely new observation. The tier 2 offshore
companies are experiencing the heat for the last three to four years, struggling
to keep pace in revenue growth and more importantly in margins. Incidentally,
this has been a period in which the top threeTCS, Infosys and Wiprohave
clearly moved into the big league in global IT services market, competing more
as equals with the traditional leaders in North America, and of late, in Europe.
While the top three companies have now started competing on
their specific strengths, not to mention their proven ability to scale up;
low-cost (often euphemized as the India advantage) is still the major selling
point for most of the tier 2/3 companies. The me-too strategy, which works
fairly well during the hype phase, is difficult to sustain in the long run. And
offshoring is no more hype; it is the mainstream outsourcing strategy for
corporations globally.
While there has been a lot of concern and a fair bit of analysismost
of these companies are listedon the slowing down of the next tier IT services
firms, this years Top 20 analysis does throw a heartening new
trend-Differentiation, at least of one kindfocused playis actually paying
off for companies which are pursuing it in an undiluted fashion. Take all the
three IT services companies in the DQ Top 200 list that have had a three digit
growth, namely, Tech Mahindra, Tata Technologies, and GlobalLogic. They have
very little commonality, be it in size, growth strategies, or the kind of things
that they do. But one thing puts them in one category: they are completely
focused on what they do. For Tech Mahindra, it is a vertical: telecom; for Tata
Technologies, it is a service line: engineering services; and for GlobalLogic:
it is both: product engineering for the ISVs.
Others who have grown impressively (anywhere between 50-90%) are
Geometric Software, Infotech Enterprises, Sasken, Subex, and Helios &
Mathesonall share the same philosophy: undiluted focus. Yes, many of them
have grown by inorganic means, but that option was available to others too, and
many others have exercised that as well, but have not been able to match these
focused companies in terms of growth, even with the acquisitions.
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Top 20
Exporters |
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Rank
FY 07 |
Rank
FY 06 |
Company |
Exports (Rs crore) |
Growth
(%) |
|
FY 06 |
FY 07 |
|
1 |
1 |
TCS |
11,694 |
16,267 |
39.1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Infosys |
8,959 |
13,025 |
45.4 |
|
3 |
3 |
Wipro |
7,462 |
10,354 |
38.8 |
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4 |
4 |
Satyam |
4,515 |
5,789 |
28.2 |
|
5 |
5 |
IBM |
2,919 |
4,880 |
67.2 |
|
6 |
6 |
HCL Technologies |
3,264 |
4,598 |
40.9 |
|
7 |
7 |
Cognizant |
2,503 |
4,583 |
83.1 |
|
8 |
13 |
Oracle India |
2,369 |
3,663 |
54.6 |
|
9 |
12 |
Tech Mahindra |
1,231 |
2,890 |
134.8 |
|
10 |
8 |
Patni |
2,095 |
2,573 |
22.8 |
|
11 |
9 |
HP |
1,734 |
2,254 |
30.0 |
|
12 |
15 |
L&T Infotech |
775 |
1,244 |
60.5 |
|
13 |
New |
Capgemini |
700 |
1,160 |
65.7 |
|
14 |
16 |
Aricent |
829 |
1,072 |
29.3 |
|
15 |
14 |
Perot Systems |
821 |
975 |
18.8 |
|
16 |
New |
Syntel |
735 |
932 |
26.8 |
|
17 |
17 |
Polaris |
742 |
904 |
21.8 |
|
18 |
18 |
Hexaware |
683 |
885 |
29.6 |
|
19 |
20 |
MphasiS |
642 |
836 |
30.2 |
|
20 |
New |
SISL |
588 |
778 |
32.3 |
|
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Top 20 |
55,260 |
79,662 |
44.2 |
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Source: DQ estimates CyberMedia
Research |
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Top 20 continue to grow faster than the industry. Oracles strong
showing in exports is driven by its i-flex acquisition |
It is difficult to say if focus alone will sustain the growth
momentum for these companies in the long run. But for the time being, it surely
is paying off. The IT services exports landscape in India is far from flat. In
fact, these few companies with impressive performance, distributed throughout
the list suggest that the Indian IT services exports landscape is actually
spiky! Page(s) 1 2 3
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